Where I see it differently is that Season 1 was not a normal baseline. It was the migration period, v1 staking was ending and the Aragon system was new. Many people were still figuring out how rewards and delegation would work. So I would be careful using Season 1 participation as proof that the same level of incentives will retain stakers going forward.
Season 2 is the first real test after people have seen the actual reward amounts.
I also think one thing that gets lost when we talk about APY’s is how concentrated the current voting power is. If rewards are distributed by voting power/lock weight, then a large part of any reward pool naturally goes to the largest lockers. That means a headline APR can look reasonable while the actual CTX amount received by smaller independent holders is still very small.
There is also a issue for new stakers. Because voting power grows over time, people who locked earlier naturally have more reward weight than someone entering now. That is fine and part of the design, but it means the APY can overstate what a new staker actually experiences at the beginning. So far there is roughly 950k CTX locked in the new Aragon governance system, while v1 governance had over 1.5M CTX at its peak. Some holders have still not migrated, likely because the new system requires a larger commitment: longer lockup, slower withdrawal, delegation, and more active participation. If the total pool is too low, new or smaller stakers may look at the initial reward amount and decide it is not worth locking.
That is part of why I think the Season 2 pool needs to be higher. It is not only about rewarding the biggest stakers. It is also about making sure smaller independent holders and new participants have a real reason to lock, delegate, and stay involved.
I absolutely agree that long term rewards should ideally come from revenue, the same way operating expenses should ideally be supported by revenue. But right now we do not have that revenue live yet. That is also why the DAO approved a large CTX operating budget so the team can continue executing. Until revenue changes the funding model, I think staking incentives should be treated as part of keeping the governance system healthy and decentralized, not as an optional extra.
That is why I still think 100k CTX for June-August is a reasonable middle ground. It comes out to roughly 33,333 CTX/month, about 3.3x the 10k/month suggestion, and is materially lower than my original proposal.
I would also support keeping the same structure discussed above: eligibility tied to delegate participation when proposals happen, stake/lock weight when no proposals happen, and a required review before any September-December continuation.
That keeps the program bounded while still making staking incentives meaningful during an important governance period.